Updated Feb 3, 2012 - 11:34 am
The Go 2 Guy's Super Bowl gambling manifesto
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By Jim Moore
If you've ever tuned into "The Kevin Calabro Show," I'm sure I've mentioned pointspreads and betting on football from time to time.
I don't bring it up all that often because it still strikes me as a "taboo" topic even though it's a multi-million-dollar industry in Las Vegas and on the Internet. Part of the mega-interest in the NFL comes from fans who love to bet on the games.
The Super Bowl is the biggest sports-betting event of the year. Most everyone knows the line on the game -- the Patriots are favored by 3. The "smart" money will be on the Giants. I'm calling it "smart" money because that's where my money will be. If the Patriots win by 4 or more, my wager on the Giants will henceforth be called "dumb" money or money that has completely disappeared.
Others who follow this stuff are also aware that the over-under on the game is 55. I plan to take the over, anticipating that the Giants will win 30-27. I like the fact that we're dealing with two relatively high-powered offenses that will battle it out in a climate-controlled domed stadium.
I also plan to bet that the game will be decided in overtime. Why? Geez, I don't know, I just do. At Bodog, you can get 6.5-1 odds on the game going to OT. If you wager $10 on it going to OT, you'll win $65 if it does.
These look like two evenly matched teams to me. The pointspread suggests as much. I'm also counting on the game going into overtime because NO SUPER BOWL HAS EVER GONE INTO OVERTIME.
I know what you're thinking -- if they've played 45 Super Bowls and none of them have gone to OT, why in the world would the Go 2 Guy think this one will when history says that it won't.
![]() One minute, 34 seconds is the over-under for the time it will take Kelly Clarkson to sing the national anthem. John Clayton says take the over. (AP) |
If the Cougs don't win that day, Scott believes that they're due to win in their next game, and so on.
Using the Scott Sutton logic, I will put 10 bucks or 20 bucks on the Super Bowl going to OT, and if the game ends in regulation time like all of the other Super Bowls, I will shrug, laugh and tell myself "boy, that was a stupid bet" and wager on next year's Super Bowl to go to OT, too. Sooner or later, according to Scott anyway, it will happen.
Here's one for you: I bet $25 on the Baltimore-New England AFC Championship Game going to OT two weeks ago. I think the odds were 9-1 on that one, meaning I would have won $225 if the game had gone to OT.
As you'll recall, the game did not go to OT because of Billy Cundiff, the Ravens' kicker who whiffed on a field goal that would have tied the game with 12 seconds remaining. Before he kicked the ball, I knew he'd miss because I never win those kinds of bets.
You would think I would have wanted to strangle Cundiff for missing, but I didn't. I felt worse for him and for Ravens' fans than I did for me and my cockamamie wager. When you bet on this stuff, you have to learn to expect the unexpected.
Which brings me to other crazy bets you can make on the Super Bowl. They're called propositional bets, and they're really, really stupid because you have to get really, really lucky to win them. More than anything else, you have to be really, really sick to wager on a "prop" bet, and I guess you could say I'm ICU sick because I probably will.
At Bodog.com, where you can find all of the crazy bets that I'm mentioning here, you can actually bet on how long it will take Kelly Clarkson to sing the national anthem. The over-under is one minute, 34 seconds, and John Clayton has already advised gamblers to take the over, saying that Clarkson will stretch it out, milking every second of the spotlight.
You can also bet on whether the coin flip will be heads or tails. What better way to get things rolling than to bet on the coin flip, sitting on the edge of your chair, the drama, the excitement as the referee shows each captain the head of the coin and the tail of the coin before flipping it into the air. And then when everyone looks down to the field to get the result, Wow!!! You can't beat that with a stick!
Other interesting bets include:
• Whether Madonna will wear a hat during her halftime show.
• The result of the first replay challenge: ruling on the field stands or ruling overturned.
• 10-1 odds on a missed PAT
• Over-under at 1/2 -- the number of times Tom Brady's wife, Gisele Bundchen, is shown on the NBC telecast. (Let's all hope for the over whether we bet on it or not.)
• Who will the Super Bowl MVP thank first? The favorite is teammates at 5-4. God is 4-1, the team owner is 5-1, family is 15-2 and the coach is 12-1. The second-favorite? "He won't thank anyone" at 5-2. So basically if you think the MVP will be an ungrateful, narcissistic jerk, you can get 5-2 odds that he'll talk about himself and no one else.
• And then there's my personal favorite -- which color the Gatorade that's dumped on the winning coach will be: Clear's the favorite at 3-2, followed by orange and yellow at 5-2, red at 13-2, green at 15-2 and blue at 10-1. (Go 2 Guy prediction: This feels like betting on the hydro race at Safeco Field -- go with the green at 15-2!)
Jim Moore also writes for his website, www.jimmoorethego2guy.com, and the Kitsap Sun. You can reach him at jimmoorethego2guy@yahoo.com. Follow Jim on Twitter @cougsgo.
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