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 Michael Medved

Michael Medved: History and logic say Obama will likely lose

BY Jamie Skorheim  on September 7, 2012 @ 10:19 am (Updated: 12:22 pm - 9/7/12 )

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Barack Obama's chances of winning the 2012 presidential election are not great, talk host and political commentator Michael Medved writes in his new book, "The Odds Against Obama: Why History and Logic Make the President a Likely Loser." (AP Photo/file)

Barack Obama's chances of winning the 2012 presidential election are not great, talk host and political commentator Michael Medved writes in his new book, "The Odds Against Obama: Why History and Logic Make the President a Likely Loser."

Medved tells The Ross and Burbank Show that even Obama admitted during his last visit to Seattle that getting re-elected may prove harder than getting elected the first time.

"He said, 'This is going to be a closer election than last time,'" says Medved. "That means that after four years, he acknowledges he has less support than he did when he first came in, and that is not a model for victory. That is in one of the iron rules of history a model for defeat."

Looking at past presidential elections, Medved says incumbents that have gone on to win have always done so with more support the second time around.

"The only presidents who tend to win second terms are ones that have been very successful the first time out," says Medved. "If you have had a first term that's been troubled and people are thinking 'Well this has been a little bit disappointing,' you ain't seen nothing yet."

Listen to the full conversation about Michael Medved's new book:

The Michael Medved Show can be heard daily on 770 KTTH The Truth from 12 p.m. to 3 p.m.

By JAMIE GRISWOLD, MyNorthwest.com Editor

Jamie Skorheim, MyNorthwest.com Editor
Whether it's floating on Green Lake, eating shrimp tacos at Agua Verde, or taking weekend drives out to the Cascades, she loves to enjoy the Pacific Northwest lifestyle as much as humanly possible.
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Comments (15)


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  • cigarfan wrote...
    Logic?
    September 7, 2012 1:26 pm
    This election is about rhetoric & dialectics, not Geometrical syllogisms.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • William Lawn wrote...
    Medved thinks Obama ain't gonna win???????!!!!!!!??!!!!!!!!!!!
    September 7, 2012 2:08 pm
    Now there is some news.

    Thanks guys.

    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • It's me! Ha ha! wrote...
    Michael Medved: History and logic say Obama will likely lose
    September 7, 2012 5:47 pm
    And that ObamaEconomy certainly isn't helping his dismal re immac chances!
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • pro_steel_header wrote...
    medved is an establishment republican supporter...
    September 7, 2012 6:19 pm
    nuff said. Ron Paul 2012!!!
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • SeattleD wrote...
    I'm going to wait to buy Medved's book until after the election
    September 7, 2012 6:26 pm
    They should be really cheap by then.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • ron prevost wrote...
    So, here we go again. Medved did this book on his own blog page a couple of weeks ago.
    September 7, 2012 6:41 pm
    And to top things off, MYNW is posting the same story as this today anew on the Medved site. With all comments carried over.

    Oh, well.

    But the reason Medved might actually be wrong - against all logic - is that this nation may have passed the tipping point such that those dependent on government are now in the majority. ... That's why Obama is so insistent on pandering to his base. That dependent 'base' very likely now is larger than any conservative/tax PAYING base.

    The saving grace for Romney, however, is that the leftist base traditionally is less motivated to vote. .... Stick to the economy and avoid social diversions, and the man behind the curtain should be defeated.

    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • cigarfan wrote...
    @ron prevost
    September 7, 2012 7:58 pm
    Democrats will vote for Obama, leftists will vote 3rd party.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • ron prevost wrote...
    @ cigar
    September 8, 2012 5:13 am
    Maybe - If that's true, your side had best home Ron Paul actually jumps into the race. A large portion of Obama's votes last time WERE true leftists.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • cigarfan wrote...
    @ron prevost
    September 8, 2012 11:09 am
    You have a contradiction, a leftist is anti-capitalist, so a "true" leftist (I hate using the term "true")would not be supporting candidates of capitalist parties to begin with. They would vote for a socialist candidate, not a corporate funded candidate.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • CH wrote...
    He is hoping to sell his crap to . . . .
    September 7, 2012 7:07 pm
    mittens fans. They'll buy it.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • Drool wrote...
    Broken Record
    September 7, 2012 8:14 pm
    Where have I seen this blog post before?
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • ron prevost wrote...
    MyNorthwest.com
    September 8, 2012 7:38 am
    is into recycling.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
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