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 Michael Medved
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Obama's Fading Likeability

September 25, 2012 @ 3:42 pm

Supporters of Barack Obama insist that issues don't matter because the president will win re-election on the strength of "likeability." But this theory ignores the drastic decline in Obama's personal appeal: in October, 2008, leading polls showed the public viewed him more positively than negatively by a margin of 17 points; now that edge is only 6 points, as Obama's personal negatives soared from 35 to 42 percent.

This gives him negative ratings much higher than Al Gore or John McCain, both of whom lost; and near identical to Mitt Romney, who's been smeared by attack ads and harsh media treatment. Four years ago, even with his hope and change mystique, Barack Obama won only 52.9 percent of the popular vote and this year, with much less personal popularity, he shouldn't come close to that number.

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Comments (77)


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  • Drool wrote...
    Amusing use of English
    September 25, 2012 3:20 pm
    In one case 6 points is "only" but in the other the word "soar" is used for 7 points.

    "Only" 52.9? Some circles use numbers like that in the same sentence as "mandate".

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  • Chuck Gould wrote...
    Mitt Romney has been "smeared by attack ads and harsh media treatment"
    September 25, 2012 3:31 pm
    Wow. That is so unfair.

    Good thing that nobody in the media (including conservative talk) has ever attacked Obama or treated him harshly.

    How unfair that the left will attack Romney, while everybody on the right remains perfectly civil and wouldn't say anything rude, untrue, or harsh about Obama.

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  • messiah101 wrote...
    What else to expect from a guy like Medved
    September 25, 2012 4:24 pm
    He takes a daily dump on Obama.Obama has been called a Commie,A Traitor, An illegal alien,a Homosexual and Medved "thinks"??? Romney has been treated harshly.Oh by the way that only 52.9% computed to over 10,000,000 votes and that my friend is a trouncing.Medved maybe the worst "spinner" in the media.
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  • maplefish wrote...
    Obama is an idiot
    September 25, 2012 8:18 pm
    He was on "The View" again today for the 15th time. We'll know for sure this November won't we.... All you Lefty's forget what happened in the 2010 elections when all the polls were favoring the Democrats and then there was a bloodbath in Congress. This November the American people will finish the job and put the grown ups back in charge of the country. Obama is an incompetent FAILURE!
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  • cigarfan wrote...
    Fading?
    September 25, 2012 5:59 pm
    What planet do these people come from? While I'm not voting for Romney or Obama, you have to be either a liar or a fool to not see Obama's popularity increase lately. I don't think Medved is a fool.
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  • messiah101 wrote...
    cigarfan
    September 25, 2012 6:30 pm
    Medved is a paid GOP and AIPAC spin doctor he is paid to attack Dems and anyone who is not 100% PRO ISRAEL. He does it with LIES and innuendo,as well as using half truths (another type of lie in my book)
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  • maplefish wrote...
    Obama on The VIEW...AGAIN!
    September 26, 2012 8:26 am
    HAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA -What a GREAT LEADER.You stupid Democrats really think this guy is good for this Country???
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  • Drool wrote...
    You Might Want to Check Romney's Likeability....
    September 25, 2012 6:15 pm
    ...with his running mate:

    http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81618.html?hp=l1

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  • SeattleD wrote...
    Supporters of Dumney insist that actual policies don't matter
    September 25, 2012 6:29 pm
    because Dumney will win the election on the fact that he's white and Obama is a "black Muslim".
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  • It's me! Ha ha! wrote...
    We American who DO NOT support Obama
    September 25, 2012 6:37 pm
    will vote for Romney because of this ObamaEconomy and could care less about Obama's "Likability". This is a noting issue that the state run media and the Obama ministry of re immac propaganda is going to try to use to boost the Dear leaders rating any way it can to a better number.

    Left wing Parrots, what ever happened to all your squawking just last week over Obama's big lead? Just not seeing it anymore!

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  • messiah101 wrote...
    haha
    September 25, 2012 7:54 pm
    No we are very happy with the commanding lead Obama seems to have.Of course now Romneys SMEAR and LIE campaign starts.
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  • maplefish wrote...
    LOL
    September 25, 2012 8:22 pm
    Yes, go ahead and trust the polls....you lefty's saw what happened in 2010. If I were you I'd be very afraid.....Obama is done.
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  • cigarfan wrote...
    @Maplefish
    September 25, 2012 11:41 pm
    Yeah I remember 2010, Dino Rossi got his hat handed to him for the 3rd time, Patty Murray got re-elected, Jay Inslee got re-elected and Jim McDermott got re-elected. Fear only works in the ABSENCE of understanding.
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  • maplefish wrote...
    Well,
    September 26, 2012 8:23 am
    That's Washington State for ya. I was born here and I love it here, but I am constantly surrounded by inferiors....I mean, DEMOCRATS! Oh, BTW did you notice that we have a $4 BILLION Deficit...? Yeah, the Democrats are doing a great job.
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  • messiah101 wrote...
    FISH
    September 26, 2012 8:45 am
    Check the other 49 States,we are doing better then a lot of them and we have lived a pretty good life in Washington under Democrat Leadership.Our wages are good. And the Dems in the Seattle Metro area pay enough in Taxes to keep the GOP areas afloat in the poor areas of the State
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  • Realitycheck wrote...
    cigarfan
    September 26, 2012 9:09 am
    Really?? I mean really?? Telling lies or twisting what somebody truly stated only works with dummy lefties because they can't think for themselves. Maplefish was never talking about state results he was talking national results in 2010. It is sad if a grown man or woman can't even accept the facts.
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  • cigarfan wrote...
    @Reality
    September 26, 2012 11:30 am
    Since there wasn't a presidential election in 2010, what did you want? I'd say watching Dino Rossi lose was fair entertainment, and by the way Jay Inslee, Rick Larsen and Jim McDermott winning ARE FEDERAL silly.
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  • cigarfan wrote...
    @Reality
    September 26, 2012 11:43 am
    Rossi was running for US SENATE in you were not around in 2010 against patty murray, where are you getting "state results"? what would you prefer? give an example or did you just skip reading ?
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  • SeattleNative wrote...
    I'd like to hear more about...
    September 26, 2012 9:42 am
    ...$122,000 in unemployment benefits being sent to messiah's address.
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  • messiah101 wrote...
    SeattleNative
    September 26, 2012 12:56 pm
    Yep the checks just keep coming I sign them and Donate them to the Obama and Jay Inslee re-election campaigns after all you got help the ones that are helping you.But I'm not the only one who gets these checks ALL REGISTERED Dems get one I thought everyone knew that.I suggest you register as a Dem and wait for your checks to come pouring in. It PAYS to be a Dem.And you Rightys call us stupid
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  • HLC wrote...
    messinyourpants?
    September 26, 2012 9:52 am
    You can't claim to be retired if your on welfare. I'm sorry I forgot for a second your a taxacrat that considers welfare a good career choice. On Obozo's likeability, you have to like a guy that is so stupid, it would be cruel not to.
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  • messiah101 wrote...
    HLC
    September 26, 2012 1:01 pm
    No I'm retired.And except for occasional LARGE checks from the Democrats.I live frugally.If Romney wins I may have to sell my Escalante and a few Polo ponies and let 5 or 6 of my illegal foreign workers go.When Bush was in office I had to let my pool boy and Cabana girl as well as my Ferrari mechanic go for those 8 years and it got tough
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  • messiah101 wrote...
    HLC
    September 26, 2012 1:02 pm
    Glad to see another supporter of Obamas LIKEABILITY
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  • Rick (4) wrote...
    Why do the poor and middle class support Obama with news like this?
    September 26, 2012 10:45 am
    Source:

    http://www.sentierresearch.com/reports/Sentier_Household_Income_Trends_Report_August2012_09_25_12.pdf

    Median household incomes have fallen 8.2 percent since President Obama took office and continue to drop despite the official end of the recession, a new study shows.

    Data compiled by Sentier Research found that since the economic recovery technically began in June 2009, median household income has dropped 5.7 percent. As of August, that median income was $50,678 -- also down 1.1 percent from the month prior.

    And since Obama took office in January 2009, the median income has fallen 8.2 percent, from $55,198 to its present figure.

    But the leftists are still supporting Obama, when all indicators show he does NOT care about the poor or middle class. Why is this?

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  • cigarfan wrote...
    @Rick(4)
    September 26, 2012 1:36 pm
    I wouldn't say Leftists are supporting Obama, I would say Democrats and some indies are. Leftists are anti-capitalist and do not support candidates of capitalist parties like the Republicans or Democrats. (They would vote Socialist.)
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  • Rick (4) wrote...
    Sorry but the Socialist Party is not on the Ballot in WA
    September 26, 2012 5:39 pm
    So stop lying, everyone knows you will vote for Obama.
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  • cigarfan wrote...
    @Rick(4)
    September 26, 2012 6:18 pm
    Really? Is this your first time voting for president in WA state? Each party has a candidate and VP candidate. There's the Liberatarian party, Green party, Justice party, socialist party and even constitution party! https://wei.sos.wa.gov/agency/osos/en/press_and_research/PreviousElections/2012/General-Election/Pages/Online-Voters-Guide.aspx then click on the FEDERAL link.
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  • Rick (4) wrote...
    @cigarfan - sorry you are wrong again
    September 26, 2012 8:19 pm
    The "socialist party" is not on the ballet in WA. These other two parties but neither are the socialist party and the last one is the communist party: Socialism & Liberation Party (doesn't make sense as Libertarian and Socialism having nothing in common) AND Socialist Workers Party (Communist). So which of these are you voting for? P.S. I am voting Libertarian i.e. Gary Johnson.
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  • cigarfan wrote...
    @Rick(4)
    September 26, 2012 10:09 pm
    I'll help ya since you might be new to WA presidential elections: The candidates names are James Harris and Alyson Kennedy. Look carefully and you'll find these socialists! Sorry if I'm not voting for Romney or Obama ;)
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  • Rick (4) wrote...
    @cigarfan
    September 27, 2012 10:56 am
    Glad to see you are voting for Communists.
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  • cigarfan wrote...
    @Rick(4)
    September 27, 2012 12:58 pm
    Thank you!
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  • SeattleD wrote...
    I keep waiting for Medved's blog entry entitled
    September 26, 2012 6:34 pm
    "Romney's Fading Poll Numbers"
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  • Drool wrote...
    The Numbers
    September 26, 2012 7:24 pm
    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
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