Donald Trump’s path to victory: Tough, not impossible
Aug 15, 2016, 10:30 AM
Commentators in the mainstream media want to suggest that the presidential race is already over – with a lopsided Hillary Clinton win all but assured.
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If Trump supporters believe their cause is lost, they may stay home — damaging Republicans up and down the ticket. But the truth is that Trump still has a path to Electoral College victory. The polls give disproportionate weight to states like California and New York, where Hillary is far ahead, but swing states — where it’s close — will decide the outcome. It doesn’t matter if Clinton wins New York three-to-one, as long as she loses Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Trump must successfully defend three Romney states where the polling is tight — North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona. But if he does that, and ekes out victories in the three big “swingers,” he’ll be president.
The outcome will depend on Trump delivering a substantive, dignified, credible performance in televised debates.
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