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Who should and will win the Oscar

BY Tom Tangney  on February 22, 2013 @ 7:04 am (Updated: 8:01 am - 2/22/13 )

This year's Oscar campaign was two weeks longer than usual, since the Academy moved up its nominations deadline without moving up the actual Oscar ceremony. Whether the length of the campaigns had any effect on the Oscar outcomes will only be known come Sunday night. The Best Picture, Best Actor, and Best Supporting Actress categories look pretty locked up but there's still a chance for some movement in the other top categories.

Here's hoping there will be at least a few surprises.

Best Supporting Actor
tom bestpicture Will Win: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Should Win: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
Alan Arkin, Argo
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Best Supporting Actress
tom bestpicture Will & Should Win:
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Amy Adams, The Master
Sally Field Lincoln
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook
Best Actor
tom bestpicture Will Win: Daniel Day Lewis, Lincoln
Should Win:Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Denzel Washington, Flight
Best Actress
tom bestpicture Will win:
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Should Win:
Quvenzhane Wallis,
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Best Director
tom bestpicture Will win: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Should Win: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Michael Haneke, Amour
Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Best Picture
tom bestpicture Will win: Argo
Should Win: Django Unchained
Amour
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Find more MyNorthwest.com Oscar coverage:
Seth MacFarlane tapped to host Oscars for musical talents, not snark
Academy Award nominees buck the trend by being popular
'Argo,' 'Lincoln,' use big budgets to buy potential Oscar votes
The most obscure Best Picture Oscar nominee - 'Amour'

Tom Tangney, KIRO Radio Host
Tom Tangney is co-host of KIRO Radio's Seattle's Morning News and resident enthusiast of...everything. He loves books, movies, TV, art, pop culture, politic, sports, and Husky football.
More Tom Tangney

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Comments (11)


  • Add A Comment

  • maplefish wrote...
    Django Unchained
    February 22, 2013 8:08 am
    Was great for the first hour. The second half of the movie was so over the top and gratuitously and unnecessarily violent that it just turned stupid.... Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty and Argo were all 10 times better than Jango with a silent D....
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • Stevebo wrote...
    I have to agree about Django.
    February 22, 2013 10:55 am
    The movie was pretty entertaining for the first hour, but degraded from that point.

    I was left feeling that Quentin started throwing in violence and the "N" word as much as he could... just because he could... it felt very over the top to me.

    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • Stevebo wrote...
    As to the rest of the movies...
    February 22, 2013 11:04 am
    The only other one that I saw was Les Miserables... I liked it, but am not sure if it was truly oscar worthy... though I do have to agree that Anne Hathway did a good job... but I can't compare to the other actress' as I did not watch their performances.

    The other movies are a typical example of Hollywood and critics having different tastes than most other "average" public.

    I'm somewhat interested in Silver Linings Playbook, but otherwise, I have little intrest in the other movies that all the critics and the Hollywood elite are fawning all over.

    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • cigarfan wrote...
    Best Picture
    February 22, 2013 2:34 pm
    Tarantino's story....does NOT beat Victor Hugo's story. Not even close.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • 2112 wrote...
    Life of Pi
    February 22, 2013 10:57 pm
    Was an amazingly good movie. IMHO
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • Country_Dog wrote...
    Tangney's support of Django
    February 23, 2013 6:16 am
    just perpetuate violence in our culture. He is guilty of promoting such violence.

    He has the easiest job in the world -- don't produce anything just complain about what other people make, pick the trendiest film so you can get invited to the hip parties, and make guesses that you have absolutely no consequences for.

    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • maplefish wrote...
    Country Dog
    February 23, 2013 2:30 pm
    How true. You'd think that a hipster liberal like Tagney would call out the extreme GUN violence and just plain mindless, over the top viciousness of the killing. After the Doctor died, the movie turned into a turd. But, hey, it is just a movie.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • ratrustle wrote...
    Got to agree with Tom
    February 23, 2013 8:06 am
    Life of Pi was great and should get Best Director. And regardless of the violence Django Unchained was EXCELLENT. I thought Lincoln was difficult to watch. Daniel Day Lewis was good but...
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • Moondoggie wrote...
    Ed Asner and company
    February 23, 2013 6:58 pm
    are orchestrating an effort to encourage guild members to vote based on political ideology rather than artistic merit. Pretty much takes the fun out of it for me.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • Country_Dog wrote...
    Ed Asner is fat
    February 24, 2013 6:56 am
    and should have his 16 oz soda taken away.
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • mobeta wrote...
    Who gives a crap
    February 25, 2013 7:11 am
    Really?
    { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }
  • { "Thumbs Up":"1","Thumbs Down":"-1" }