Yellowstone flooding reveals forecast flaws as climate warms


              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              Pam Smith is seen in front of a trailer filled with her belongings that were ruined in flooding, in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 16, 2022. Smith said she received no warning before a creek inundated her neighborhood last month during flash flooding across the region that includes Yellowstone National Park. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown)
            
              FILE - A road ends where floodwaters washed away a house in Gardiner, Mont., on June 16, 2022. As cleanup from historic floods at Yellowstone National Park grinds on, climate experts and meteorologists say the gap between the destruction in the area and what was forecast underscores a troublesome trend tied to climate change: Modeling programs used to predict storms aren't keeping up with increasingly extreme weather. (AP Photo/David Goldman, File)
            
              FILE - Kirstyn Brown, right, cleans out damaged clothing from her flooded home with the help of her mother, Cheryl Pruitt, rear, and her sister-in-law, Randi Pruitt, in Red Lodge, Mont., June 15, 2022. As cleanup from historic floods at Yellowstone National Park grinds on, climate experts and meteorologists say the gap between the destruction in the area and what was forecast underscores a troublesome trend tied to climate change: Modeling programs used to predict storms aren't keeping up with increasingly extreme weather. (AP Photo/David Goldman, File)
            
              FILE - A house sits in Rock Creek after floodwaters washed away a road and a bridge in Red Lodge, Mont., on June 15, 2022. As cleanup from historic floods at Yellowstone National Park grinds on, climate experts and meteorologists say the gap between the destruction in the area and what was forecast underscores a troublesome trend tied to climate change: Modeling programs used to predict storms aren't keeping up with increasingly extreme weather. (AP Photo/David Goldman, File)
            FILE - In this photo provided by the National Park Service, is a washed out bridge from flooding at Rescue Creek in Yellowstone National Park, Mont., on June 13, 2022. As cleanup from historic floods at Yellowstone National Park grinds on, climate experts and meteorologists say the gap between the destruction in the area and what was forecast underscores a troublesome trend tied to climate change: Modeling programs used to predict storms aren't keeping up with increasingly extreme weather. (National Park Service via AP, File) FILE - An entrance to Yellowstone National Park, a major tourist attraction, sits closed due to the historic floodwaters on June 15, 2022, in Gardiner, Mont. As cleanup from historic floods at Yellowstone National Park grinds on, climate experts and meteorologists say the gap between the destruction in the area and what was forecast underscores a troublesome trend tied to climate change: Modeling programs used to predict storms aren't keeping up with increasingly extreme weather. (AP Photo/David Goldman, File)
Yellowstone flooding reveals forecast flaws as climate warms