SEATTLE NEWS ARCHIVES & FEATURES

Is Seattle safe, dangerous, or somewhere in between?

Jun 28, 2018, 4:03 PM

My favorite columnist at the Seattle Times is Gene Balk, the FYI Guy. I always enjoy his well-researched articles.

But I’d like to offer an addendum to his recent article titled “Mean world syndrome: In some Seattle neighborhoods, fear of crime exceeds reality.”

RELATED: South Lake Union shrugs off smash-and-grab spree

Gene takes some recent data from a public safety survey and compares it with crime statistics from police departments to highlight the differential between the fear surrounding crime and actual reported crime by neighborhood. His basic conclusion is for almost every neighborhood, people are more afraid than the actual crime stats warrant.

Now, I’m not critical of his research at all. All the graphs and charts line up. Based on what he looked at, it’s all accurate and fine reporting.

But I’d like to suggest that this analysis is leaving out one of the most important aspects of this perception vs. reality gap. That aspect is unreported crime. I realize that there is no way to measure an unknown variable like this, but I think it not only can explain why the gap exists, but validates it in some ways.

Unreported crime in Seattle

I’ll give you a few anecdotal examples to consider from my own life that I’ve shared on the air.

The most obvious incident was my stupidly chasing down the guy dressed in black that stole a cooler full of beers and sodas from my porch. It was a dumb move on my part, but my instincts took over. Now in days of yore, I would have called the police on this guy. There most likely would have been some kind of charge. I literally caught him red cooler handed. But I felt it was useless to call the cops for this. I got my cooler back, nobody was hurt, and I doubt an officer would come out anyway.

What about the several times my car has been broken into? I didn’t call the cops. When the same thing happens to Don, he doesn’t call the either. Smash and grabs? I doubt even half end up in the crime stats used by the FYI Guy. Things like petty crime, car break ins, and general nuance prowlers once ended up in police data. But that no longer happens.

Seattle residents have been trained not to call 911 because of the long response times from an overly taxed police force.

While I’m sure there are plenty of neighborhoods that are overly fearful compared to reality, Seattle is not the sleepy, safe town it use to be. Petty crime and drug-fueled theft are on the rise in all these neighborhoods and many go unreported.

I’m not suggesting that we live in fear. But I believe that the gap in the stats is much closer than the official numbers show because of unreported crime.

Associated Press

Asian shares mostly decline as bond market pressure mounts

BANGKOK (AP) — Asian shares were mostly lower and oil prices slipped on Monday at the outset of a week capped by a meeting of top U.S. economic officials at Jackson Hole. U.S. futures edged lower. In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 fell 0.5% to 65,678.45, while South Korea’s Kospi lost 3.5% to 6,664.36. The Hang […]

31 minutes ago

Giles Sims, who is getting a 90-hour bachelor of applied science in communication from Ensign Colle...

Associated Press

3-year college degrees grow more popular in the US, saving time and cash. But critics aren’t sold

Giles Sims, 34, was sick of getting passed over for jobs because he didn’t have a college degree. But with a wife and a widowed mother to help support, he needed a quick solution. So the laid-off web developer turned to one of a growing number of three-year degree programs. “I can’t afford to be […]

2 hours ago

FILE - This booking photo provided by the Macon County, Ill., Jail in January 2025, shows Sean Gray...

Associated Press

Sean Grayson, former Illinois deputy convicted of killing Sonya Massey, dies in prison, lawyer says

CHICAGO (AP) — Sean Grayson, a former Illinois sheriff’s deputy whose fatal shooting of Sonya Massey inside her home became a flashpoint over police use of force, died Sunday while serving a 20-year prison sentence. Grayson’s attorney, Daniel Fultz, confirmed that his client died earlier Sunday but declined to provide any further details. Grayson, 32, […]

4 hours ago

Associated Press

Police investigate after 5 bodies found in rural area outside Portland, Oregon

FOREST GROVE, Ore. (AP) — The bodies of five people were found on a rural property outside Portland and authorities said Sunday it was being investigated as a quintuple homicide. The Washington County Sheriff’s Office said authorities initially responded early Saturday to reports of a vehicle fire at a property in Forest Grove, about 30 […]

6 hours ago

FILE - President Donald Trump tees off during the opening ceremony for the Trump International Golf...

Associated Press

Trump is heading to his golf course in Ireland to watch the Irish Open golf tournament next month

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump plans to visit Ireland next month to attend the Irish Open golf tournament at his golf course in Doonbeg in County Clare on the country’s Atlantic coast, according to a White House official. The trip is the most recent example of how the president blurs the line between official […]

6 hours ago

In this photo courtesy of Katherine Delgado shows her step-father Luis Manuel Aviles, left, and her...

Associated Press

He was waiting for his son to return from the USS Lincoln. Then Border Patrol arrested him.

When Luis Manuel Aviles was arrested by immigration authorities, his son was entering his ninth month on the USS Abraham Lincoln with the Navy — a vessel that set a U.S. military record for uninterrupted time at sea, stirring concerns about supply shortages and deteriorating mental health among soldiers. Luis Manuel Aviles, 48, was arrested […]

10 hours ago

Is Seattle safe, dangerous, or somewhere in between?