LOCAL NEWS

UW modeler ‘concerned we are flying blind’ as states begin to reopen

May 14, 2020, 9:49 AM | Updated: 10:29 am
Reopen rally...
Protesters in Walla Walla. (The Jason Rantz Show)
(The Jason Rantz Show)

The latest update from modelers at the UW’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) predicts upwards of 147,000 coronavirus deaths in the United States by August, driven by what one researcher worries is a lack of preparedness from states beginning to reopen.

UW expert: ‘History of the virus remains to be written’ in US

“Our main question now is whether Americans, as they increase their mobility, are doing so in a safe way,” the IHME’s Dr. Ali Mokdad said Wednesday. “That main question, plus the lack of robust monitoring, has me concerned that we are driving blind in places as we reopen our economy and will prevent us from reacting quickly if a second wave occurs.”

Wednesday’s update to the IHME model marked an increase of almost 13,000 more predicted deaths since last week, driven largely by increases in mobility in states choosing to relax distancing measures.

While many experts have emphasized the need for a more robust system of coronavirus testing and contact tracing before distancing measures can end, many states have opted to begin reopening against that advice.

“I understand the urge to go back to the new ‘normal,’ but fear that we are not preparing to do so in the right way,” Dr. Mokdad cautioned. “We need to make sure we have the systems and processes in place to provide us with the information we need to both chart a path forward and assess whether we need to pause and/or take a step back.”

That sentiment was echoed in Thursday testimony from ousted federal vaccine director Dr. Rick Bright, who warned the U.S. to prepare for what could be the “darkest winter in modern history” without an appropriately ramped-up response to the virus.

UW modelers working to figure out when (and if) country can reopen

“Our window of opportunity is closing. If we fail to develop a national coordinated response, based in science, I fear the pandemic will get far worse and be prolonged, causing unprecedented illness and fatalities,” Dr. Bright said in his prepared remarks before the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.

Local News

USS John McCain...
L.B. Gilbert

Navy conducting anti-terrorism exercises in Everett

If you live near a Navy base like naval station Everett and you hear sirens this week -- it's not an emergency.
1 day ago
vaccine mandate...
Frank Sumrall

King County, Seattle eliminate employee vaccine mandate

King County and the City of Seattle will no longer require proof of vaccination against COVID-19 as a condition of employment.
1 day ago
internet...
Frank Sumrall

Edmonds School District’s internet still down after ‘suspicious activities’

The Edmonds School District is investigating “suspicious activities” within its network — causing the district-wide internet shutdown.
1 day ago
People walk past the Pike Place Market, Seattle's top tourist destination on March 09, 2022 in Seat...
Julia Dallas, KIRO 7 News

Pike Place Market invites people to celebrate Black History Month at Black-owned businesses

Pike Place Market is inviting the public to celebrate Black History Month by exploring the market’s Black-owned businesses.
1 day ago
brandi carlile...
L.B. Gilbert

Seattle-area native Brandi Carlile wins big at 2023 Grammys

Washington native Brandi Carlile made a powerhouse performance on stage singing her single "Broken Horses" after winning multiple Grammys.
1 day ago
Rescue workers try to reach trapped residents in a collapsed building in Kahta, in Adiyaman provinc...
Associated Press

Live Updates | Turkey, Syria earthquake kills thousands

ADANA, Turkey (AP) — The Latest on the 7.8 magnitude earthquake that devastated parts of southeast Turkey and northern Syria early Monday. ___ India and South Korea are among nations sending rescue personnel and supplies after a devastating earthquake hit Turkey and northern Syria. India said it would send 100 members of its Natural Disaster […]
1 day ago

Sponsored Articles

safety from crime...

As crime increases, our safety measures must too

It's easy to be accused of fearmongering regarding crime, but Seattle residents might have good reason to be concerned for their safety.
Comcast Ready for Business Fund...
Ilona Lohrey | President and CEO, GSBA

GSBA is closing the disparity gap with Ready for Business Fund

GSBA, Comcast, and other partners are working to address disparities in access to financial resources with the Ready for Business fund.
SHIBA WA...

Medicare open enrollment is here and SHIBA can help!

The SHIBA program – part of the Office of the Insurance Commissioner – is ready to help with your Medicare open enrollment decisions.
Lake Washington Windows...

Choosing Best Windows for Your Home

Lake Washington Windows and Doors is a local window dealer offering the exclusive Leak Armor installation.
Anacortes Christmas Tree...

Come one, come all! Food, Drink, and Coastal Christmas – Anacortes has it all!

Come celebrate Anacortes’ 11th annual Bier on the Pier! Bier on the Pier takes place on October 7th and 8th and features local ciders, food trucks and live music - not to mention the beautiful views of the Guemes Channel and backdrop of downtown Anacortes.
Swedish Cyberknife Treatment...

The revolutionary treatment of Swedish CyberKnife provides better quality of life for majority of patients

There are a wide variety of treatments options available for men with prostate cancer. One of the most technologically advanced treatment options in the Pacific Northwest is Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy using the CyberKnife platform at Swedish Medical Center.
UW modeler ‘concerned we are flying blind’ as states begin to reopen