MYNORTHWEST NEWS

UW modelers project 3 billion new COVID-19 cases by February

Dec 22, 2021, 8:05 AM | Updated: 10:23 am

Mercer Island MD, Seattle COVID, omicron...

COVID unit at Harborview Medical Center on May 7, 2020 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Karen Ducey/Getty Images)

(Photo by Karen Ducey/Getty Images)

An alarming report from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation is predicting 3 billion new infections of the omicron variant of COVID-19 over the next two months.

That’s as many infections as the world has seen since the COVID-19 pandemic first began, according to the IHME.

When compared to the delta variant, IHME researchers believe there will be fewer hospitalizations and deaths overall from the omicron variant. However, with so many people infected in such a short amount of time, hospitals could still become overwhelmed.

UW researchers said the omicron hospitalization rate is between 4 and 10% that of delta, and that the fatality rate is 1 to 3% that of delta.

They also expect to see peak transmission around mid-January with over 35 million global infections a day.

The IHME is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington.

Find IHME’s updated COVID-19 models here.

Written by KIRO 7 TV reporter Andrew Scheinthal

MyNorthwest News

Washington State University (WSU) President Kirk Schulz, left, and his wife Noel Schulz speak durin...

Steve Coogan

Washington State University President Kirk Schulz announces plan to retire in 2025

Washington State University President Kirk Schulz announced his plan Friday to retire in June 2025. He has held the position since 2016.

9 hours ago

Photo: Then-Rep. Dave Reichert, R-Wash., speaks on Nov. 6, 2018, at a Republican party election nig...

Bill Kaczaraba

Boos, chaos at Washington GOP convention over gubernatorial candidate endorsement

The state GOP convention going on in Spokane is looking more like a demolition derby than a meeting of the minds.

10 hours ago

wsp charges protest I-5...

Heather Bosch and Kate Stone

Charges filed against protesters who shut down I-5 in Seattle

Charges have been filed against six protesters who were involved in the pro-Palestinian protest that shut down I-5 in Seattle on Jan. 6.

12 hours ago

Image: The Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) closed part of Interstate 90 on Fr...

Steve Coogan

I-90 reopens after a closure due to an emergency tree removal

I-90 reopened after needing to close Friday afternoon due to an emergency tree removal, the Washington State of Transportation said Friday.

16 hours ago

The WNBA's Seattle Storm opens new facility in Interbay. (Seattle Storm X post)...

The MyNorthwest staff with wire reports

Seattle Storm unveil new Interbay practice facility, alternative uniforms

The $64 million facility in the Interbay neighborhood is an upgrade for the WNBA's Seattle Storm, which also debuted new alternate uniforms.

19 hours ago

Starbucks noise...

Bill Kaczaraba

‘What’d you say?’: Starbucks attempts to tamp down the noise

The coffee retailer, Starbucks, aims to reduce noise levels and enhance accessibility through strategic changes.

19 hours ago

UW modelers project 3 billion new COVID-19 cases by February