Rantz: This is the path to a Trump victory
Nov 8, 2016, 12:42 PM
For Trump to win Tuesday night, he’ll likely need to carry Florida, Ohio, and North Carolina.
Ohio seems the most likely, though he’s trailing when you look at voter turnout estimates. You’ll want to watch Ottawa County, OH as they are older and much whiter than the rest of Ohio. If he can’t win there, he won’t win.
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Trump has the slight edge in FL, per polls, but is trailing in voter turnout. A plus for him is that Monroe County, FL is competitive when it should be a Clinton lock.
Polls give Clinton the edge in N.C. but there’s some reports suggesting white voters are turning out in big numbers, which, in theory, help Trump. Watch Lenoir County, NC. They almost always predict the statewide winner (since 1980, the only outlier was 2008).
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