Michael Medved: History and logic say Obama will likely lose

Barack Obama’s chances of winning the 2012 presidential election are not great, talk host and political commentator Michael Medved writes in his new book, “The Odds Against Obama: Why History and Logic Make the President a Likely Loser.” (AP Photo/file)

Barack Obama’s chances of winning the 2012 presidential election are not great, talk host and political commentator Michael Medved writes in his new book, “The Odds Against Obama: Why History and Logic Make the President a Likely Loser.”

Medved tells The Ross and Burbank Show that even Obama admitted during his last visit to Seattle that getting re-elected may prove harder than getting elected the first time.

“He said, ‘This is going to be a closer election than last time,'” says Medved. “That means that after four years, he acknowledges he has less support than he did when he first came in, and that is not a model for victory. That is in one of the iron rules of history a model for defeat.”

Looking at past presidential elections, Medved says incumbents that have gone on to win have always done so with more support the second time around.

“The only presidents who tend to win second terms are ones that have been very successful the first time out,” says Medved. “If you have had a first term that’s been troubled and people are thinking ‘Well this has been a little bit disappointing,’ you ain’t seen nothing yet.”

Listen to the full conversation about Michael Medved’s new book:

The Michael Medved Show can be heard daily on 770 KTTH The Truth from 12 p.m. to 3 p.m.

By JAMIE GRISWOLD, MyNorthwest.com Editor