Poll: Bob Ferguson grows on Republicans, sours on Democrats, amidst economic fear heightened

Washingtonians’ mood about the state’s future remains largely stagnant while concerns about the economy continue to worsen, according to a new DHM Research survey. But more surprising? Governor Bob Ferguson’s approval numbers amongst Republicans.

Despite a new governor taking office earlier this year, residents’ views on the direction of the state show little change. Forty percent said Washington is on the right track, nearly identical to past surveys between April 2023 and today, while 45% said the state is on the wrong track — also virtually unchanged. This persistent malaise comes as concerns about the economy deepen. Fifty-six percent said Washington’s economic conditions are getting worse, a sharp increase from 35% just three months ago.

One of the most surprising findings: Republican support for Governor Bob Ferguson has risen dramatically.

Republicans starting to like Governor Bob Ferguson

Positive impressions of Ferguson among Republicans jumped from 15% in January to 35% in April, according to The Seattle Times. Meanwhile, his support among Democrats fell from 65% to 47% during the same period. Ferguson’s standing among independents also declined, dropping from 41% to 31%.

The unusual bump in Republican approval comes even as Ferguson’s overall favorability slipped. Among all voters, Ferguson’s positive ratings now sit at 38%, down from 42% in January and a high of 56% last November.

The poll, conducted online April 16-20 among 500 Washington residents, was weighted to reflect the state’s demographics by age, gender, region, political affiliation, education, and income. It was completed before Democrats passed a budget that would raise taxes by $9 billion. Ferguson previously rejected Democratic tax plans, angering Democrats but earning praise from Republicans.

King County residents made up 29% of respondents, with the remainder spread across Puget Sound, Western Washington, and Eastern Washington. Politically, 40% identified as Democrats, 29% as Republicans, and 23% as independents.

Ferguson’s future, and bright spots for Republicans

Ferguson’s uptick among Republicans could reflect a perception that he is governing more moderately than expected. However, growing dissatisfaction among Democrats could spell trouble for the governor.

The survey also revealed some good news for the Republican Party more broadly. When asked which party they trusted more to handle key issues, voters preferred Republicans on crime (44% to 37%), taxes (42% to 42%), and government spending (42% to 38%).

Democrats retained a large advantage on healthcare, education, housing, and climate change.

Nonetheless, the overall mood remains grim. Only 12% of respondents said the state’s economy is getting better, while a majority said it is deteriorating. Ratings of personal financial situations also darkened. Nineteen percent said their own finances were improving, down from 23% in January, while 33% said their finances were getting worse.

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