MYNORTHWEST NEWS

Scientists could be one step closer to predicting Seattle’s next mega-earthquake

Nov 12, 2015, 3:02 PM | Updated: 3:05 pm

An ocean bottom seismometer being retrieved after spending 10 months on the floor of the Pacific Oc...

An ocean bottom seismometer being retrieved after spending 10 months on the floor of the Pacific Ocean to map the mantle 100 miles underneath the Juan de Fuca plate. (UC Berkeley)

(UC Berkeley)

The tectonic plate that could cause massive damage to the Pacific Northwest is being studied more in-depth than ever.

Check out where and how big recent earthquakes have been

Researchers with the Cascadia Initiative Expedition Team have almost finished compiling the first map of the Juan de Fuca tectonic plate, which is sliding under North America.

Researchers found that the mantle beneath a portion of the Juan de Fuca plate is moving separately from the rest of the plate, EurekAlert! reports. That has resulted in “segmentation” of the Cascadia Subduction Zone.

The segmentation has been seen in previous earthquakes.

Researchers spent about three years dropping seismographs onto the ocean floor to map the mantle under the plate. Though their work isn’t done, the information could be used to help predict when the next big earthquake could hit and to help understand the forces that generate them.

An earthquake of magnitude 9 is expected to strike in the near future, but exactly how near remains uncertain. The amount of time between subduction earthquakes is about 250 years. However, Seattle and surrounding areas are about 70 years overdue for a big one.

Related: Scientists say Seattle’s overdue earthquake could happen within 50 years

If researchers are able to pull enough data to determine when the next big earthquake will hit, that information could be beneficial for more than just knowing when to hide under your desk. With enough time, cities with aging buildings may be able to retrofit to avoid mass destruction. A more solid time frame for an earthquake may prompt Seattle to prepare a little faster.

Still, there might not be as much reason to worry about a major earthquake as some people make us believe. That’s good news, because scientists say it’s going to happen, eventually.

Please follow our Community Guidelines

MyNorthwest News

EdmondsKingston...

Nate Connors

Washington State Ferries to suspend Edmonds/Kingston route

The Edmonds/Kingston ferry route will be suspended for railroad work.

7 minutes ago

wa bean dip recall dead mouse...

Jason Sutich

WinCo recalls salsa bean dip trays in WA after video shows apparent dead mouse in product

Boise-based WinCo Foods is recalling two different salsa bean dip trays distributed to eight states, including Washington, due to a potential pest contaminant.

1 hour ago

McDonald's...

DEE-ANN DURBIN, The Associated Press

McDonald’s sued over AI tool that recommends prices to US franchisees

McDonald’s is facing a federal lawsuit that alleges its AI-enhanced pricing tool violates antitrust laws.

2 hours ago

BC school shooting...

Julia Dallas

Bellingham man charged with conspiring to commit murder in connection with BC school shooting

A 30-year-old man from Bellingham was charged with conspiracy to commit murder in connection with a BC school shooting.

2 hours ago

cle elum burglaries business...

JASON SLOSS, KIRO 7

Cle Elum businesses targeted in burglaries

Multiple local businesses in Cle Elum were targeted in a series of overnight burglaries early last Thursday morning.

2 hours ago

Jimothy 1...

MyNorthwest Staff

Viral raccoon Jimothy spotted in Ballard

Jimothy, the viral deformed raccoon that has become a national celebrity, was recently spotted in a North Seattle neighborhood.

3 hours ago

Scientists could be one step closer to predicting Seattle’s next mega-earthquake